Should i drop jake peavy

After a resurgent , Peavy has re-established himself as a fantasy ace. But he still carries considerable risk, which could make him a questionable keeper for next season. For many owners, holding onto Peavy will depend on how many keepers your league allows. That puts him in pretty strong company. All of those players will likely be drafted above Peavy next season. Lohse due to his track record, and Kuroda due to age.

Medlen could go in the same range as Peavy based on how experts treat his second-half surge. If we move all those players around, Peavy probably slots in as the pitcher next season. Last season, the average draft position for the 20th pitcher taken in ESPN leagues was So, at best, Peavy is likely a seventh round pick next season. Depending on how strongly you feel about him, he could be an eighth or ninth round guy. Using that logic, it would be easy to say that Peavy is a keeper if you can keep seven or more players.

Obviously, where Peavy signs could have an impact on his value. Made 19 starts for the Giants and went with a 3. Missed all of May and June because of lower back and hip discomfort Was scratched from his second start of the season in Arizona but was able to lobby his way out of the DL at that time and made two starts before having to be put on the DL April 18 as his lower back issue was far too significant to battle through Was reinstated off the day DL on July 3 and went with a 3.

Won his last five decisions and the Giants went in his final 14 outings His 1. Went with a 2. Opponents hit. Hit the third home run of his career and his first since on Sept. Cincinnati…Peavy went at-bats and plate appearances between hitting home runs. His 2. Beginning July 27 his first start with the Giants , his 2. Allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his last nine outings, posting a 1. Combined for 32 starts, just two shy of matching his career-high for season 34 in with San Diego Ranked 12th in the Majors for the lowest run support avg.

Made his 11th career Opening Day roster and first as a member of the Red Sox Had a career-long game losing streak from May 1-Aug. Reached the 2,inning plateau on May 24 at Tampa Bay Made his Giants debut the day after July 27 vs. Snapped his career-long game losing streak on Aug. Chicago-AL, allowing one run in 7. With that Aug. Tossed 7. Went with a 4. Was with a 4. Allowed 3 runs or fewer in 7 of his 10 outings with the Red Sox Threw at least 6. Ranked 5th in the AL with a.

His 12 wins were his most as an American Leaguer and most overall since tallying 19 in with SD Was his 8th double-digit win season of his career. Among AL hurlers with at least Recorded 2 complete games Went undefeated with a 2. Cellular Field, compared to with a 5. And he did it all despite suffering a temporary setback when he was struck in the elbow by a batted ball in his Aug.

There are two reasons to do this: One, obviously, is the small sample size. Three starts are hardly enough by which to judge a pitcher, especially one in new surroundings fresh off a long-term injury.

The other, and perhaps more important, reason is that Peavy's three starts came under favorable circumstances. One of those three starts came versus the Kansas City Royals , who ranked 23rd in the majors in runs per game 4. The other two came versus the Detroit Tigers , who -- in addition to ranking only 15th in runs per game 4.

If Peavy had to pick a time to face the Tigers, September was a good time to pick. If you're going to evaluate Peavy's prospects for , it would be smarter to take the career starts he made for the San Diego Padres , adjust for the league and ballpark switch, and prepare accordingly based upon those numbers. However, Peavy's splits in those categories represent 0. Clearly, he gained a noticeable advantage from his home ballpark, which isn't surprising. Take a look at these rankings of Peavy's two home ballparks, working backward in two key offensive categories the past five seasons:.

Petco Park, runs: 30th , 30th, 30th, 29th and 30th Petco Park, home runs: 29th, 30th, 29th, 15th and 30th.

Cellular Field, runs: 9th , 4th, 9th, 9th and 9th Cellular Field, home runs: 4th, 2nd, 4th, 2nd and 2nd. There's little doubt, examining those numbers, that the ballpark switch should have a noticeable effect on Peavy's ratios.

He is at 9. Don't expect that number to continue in Chicago. Tack on a couple more homers in his new home and he'll be no ERA title contender. The switch in leagues, too, might have an adverse effect on Peavy's numbers. Last season alone, American League teams averaged 4. In the past five seasons, AL teams have averaged 0. Migrating to the AL Central should ease Peavy's transition somewhat, however. Considering that the Minnesota Twins 5. He'll fatten up on more Royals matchups, while the only NL West team to rank among the game's bottom 10 in the category last season was Peavy's own Padres -- a team he obviously never got to face.

It's not unreasonable to think Peavy's ERA might rise a quarter-run simply from the ballpark factor, and another quarter-run from the league switch, resulting in a number closer to the low threes than the mid-to-high twos.